Title
Supporting Adaptation Decisions through Scenario Planning: Enabling the Effective Use of Multiple Methods
Author(s)
Star, Jonathan;Rowland, Erika L.;Black, Mary E.;Enquist, Carolyn A. F.;Garfin, Gregg;Hoffman, Catherine Hawkins;Hartmann, Holly;Jacobs, Katharine L.;Moss, Richard H.;Waple, Anne M.
Published
2016
Publisher
Climate Risk Management
Abstract
Scenario planning is a technique used to inform decision-making under uncertainty, and is increasingly applied in the field of climate change adaptation and policy. This paper describes applications that combine previously distinct scenario methods in new and innovative ways. It draws on numerous recent independent case studies to illustrate emerging practices, such as far stronger connections between researcherdriven and participatory approaches and cycling between exploratory and normative perspectives. The paper concludes with a call for greater support for, and collaboration among, practitioners with the argument that mixed methods are most effective for decision-making in the context of climate change challenges.
Keywords
Scenario planning;Climate adaptation
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PUB19296